05/01/2008 (7:48 am)
A Peep of Light for Clinton?
Insider Advantage released a poll last night showing that Hillary Clinton has erased Obama’s double-digit lead in north Carolina. IA has Clinton up by 2 points. Meanwhile, a local news organization in the Raleigh-Durham area has Obama up by 7 points, but with a 5 point margin of error. The North Carolina primary takes place next Tuesday, May 6.
I recommend you read the excellent analysis from both Hot Air on the right and TalkLeft on the left.
There are reasons to believe the poll may be off (when is this not true?), but it looks as though the Reverend Wright has done significant damage to Obama among older voters and possibly among black voters. This has got to be worrying the Obama camp.
If Obama loses in North Carolina, he may have trouble holding the Superdelegates. Recall that the purpose of the Superdelegates in the Democratic party’s primary process is to override the will of the party voters if they’re backing a clear loser. If Obama limps into the convention perceived as permanently damaged goods, he may have the nomination snatched from him despite his lead in delegates.
This has been the most entertaining election season I’ve ever lived through.
« « McCain Unveils Health Care Ideas | Main | Maliki Government Confronts Iran » »
No Comments »
No comments yet.
RSS feed for comments on this post. TrackBack URI
